Well I did some research and bought the Sports Betting Champ system. John’s Football betting system is a very simplistic system that produces 63% win rate. Well I did some research on this and during that time there were 46 games played on the NFL already, there were only 4 plays that were applicable to what John Morrision advised and if I had bet on all 4 games, all 4 games lost. Now maybe if over the long run it does produce a 63% winning percentage, next time would be a good time to bet, maybe not. Regardless, it is so simple, with no logic involved that it is a waste of space to talk about.
This uses a progressive betting approach to his so-called 97% Baseball selections. The only thing I agree with is progressive betting is the only way to win in sports betting or in gambling period.
John’s MLB Baseball Betting System as he advertises on his website is very impressive with a 97% winning percentage. What John does not explain is the 97% reflects a win for each series he has selected. In baseball a series can be as little as one game, to as many as five, but the norm is three games. John explains you will win, and often if you bet the team he sends to you. I haven’t spent the time to research how that selection is made, but I sure it is something simplistic, like the NFL, which I did look into.
In baseball normally a team goes to a city and plays three games, not a single game like other sports. This is how he advises you to win!!! In the first game of a selected series you bet to win $100, which could be as little as $50.00 if it is a huge underdog, but I am sure, that most of his selections are going to be home teams that are favored. If that is the case you probably would have to risk an average of $140.00 a bet to win that $100.00. If that game loses, you would bet the same team in the second game. This time, if the odds are the same, you would wager now to win the original $100.00, plus the $140.00 you lost on the first game. This bet could be $335.00 or more. If what he says, is a truthful fact (which in my years of experience, I seriously doubt) you would go to this third bet at least a handful of times during a baseball season.
Now let’s check out how much that bet would cost you to win that 97% he has misled anyone that has read his claims. Now you have losses in consecutive days that total $475.00. To win your basically guaranteed $100, you now would have to risk (or better put, CHASE) over $800.00. This is based on a favorite of (-140) for each game, which in my estimation is an average favorite price. Now, he must have had at least one loss during the time he professes this 97%. When this does happen, you can see this will cost you over $1,200.00. Even in a less costly scenario, you would HAVE to have a winning percentage of these baseball series/games of over 90% just to break even. For Example: You win 57 games/series=winning $5,700.00. Losing only 3 of these series, (which is a winning percentage of 95%) your winnings are now only $1,860.00. At a winning rate of 90%, you would LOSE $2,280.00.
**Please note, that the above is based on an average bet on the favorite of (-140).
Do not get me wrong, this system may be very good, but you can see-it would have to be – to make any type of money, and any less than 90%, would be a disaster.
$140 for the first bet
$335 is the amount you bet for the second bet.
$805 is the amount you bet for the third bet, if you don’t win the second bet.
$1,280 is the amount total you would of lost if the series does not win.
You could very easily lose a lot more when you have favorites of (-170) or more, and I concede less, with favorites of less than the (-140) in my scenario, and even a lot less if you bet on some underdogs. But I will state with certainty that if you are playing less favorites or even underdogs, your winning percentage will drop as well. There is no way this can be a profitable proposition.
After I have checked out more of his claims, I may reveal more falsehoods that will certainly accompany my research.
What I like to see in a sports betting system is a system that will minimize risk and show a consistent profit betting on all sports throughout the year, follow and betting against streaks of any kind and length, have an effective money management betting program, and also be a progressive betting system, that can encompass losing streaks that can go to record lengths.
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